|
For
a long time since the re-construction period after
the Second World War, the Philippines enjoyed
economic dominance in Asia, second only to Japan,
but the Philippines was basically agriculture
based with limited industrial manufacturing facilities
to make it export oriented.
|
| |
|
The
Philippine economy has historically been characterized
by boom-and-bust cycles. Shortly after independence
in 1946, the leadership chose a strategy based
on import substitution rather than export promotion.
This policy led to the building of narrowly focused,
uncompetitive industries largely dependent on
imported raw materials and capital equipment.
|
| |
|
During
the 1970s, the Philippines attempted to capitalize
on local labor advantages for assembly functions-primarily
of electronics and apparel but these operations
have often been low-value added without much influence
on or connection to the economy as a whole. Still,
the Philippines was considered relatively prosperous
from the 1950s until the 1980s, when it was dubbed
"the sick man of Asia."
|
| |
|
Investments
in the Philippines dropped in the late 80s due
to the lack of confidence with the Marcos administration.
Despite the restoration of democracy in 1986,
uncertainty prevailed even under the Aquino administration
and this was further compounded with the barrage
of labor unrest, an increase in the number of
communist insurgents and the seven military led
uprising.
|
| |
|
In
1991 the official poverty rate was about
50 percent, while the self-reported poverty
rate was nearly 70 percent. Nowadays, many
Filipinos and outsiders alike argue that
the picture of the 1980s is no longer accurate
because the Philippines has begun to overcome
some of the problems that have plagued its
people and economy in modem times. While
much of the Philippines remains rural, Manila-the
nation's primary industrial and business
center-is regaining its status as the "Pearl
of the Orient," and by the middle of
the term of Ramos, the country was dubbed
an "Emerging Tiger," with reference
to the tiger-like growth experienced in
Southeast Asia.
|
 |
|
| |
|
The
Philippine economy is played out against a backdrop
of a number of limiting constraints. One of the
most noticeable is the inadequate domestic power
grid, which was neglected during much of the 1970s
and 1980s. By the time Aquino took office in 1986,
not only were the existing generating and distribution
systems inadequate, but the deferral of maintenance
had made the available capacity inefficient and
unreliable.
|
| |
|
Until
very recently, the Philippines was unable to sustain
even its relatively low level of industrial development,
much less develop new industry, and the problem
grew worse with increasing dependence on imported
petroleum to coal-fired the generating plants.
Government initiatives have begun to bring new
capacity on line including coal and oil-fired,
as well as hydroelectric and geothermal generators.
Parts of the state-run power company are also
being privatized in the interest of enticing new
investment and achieving greater efficiency by
the end of this century.
|
| |
|
Another
structural difficulty in the economy has been
the Philippines' significant foreign debt. In
1994 total foreign debt-most of which was left
over from the Marcos era, when a substantial portion
of borrowed funds went into consumption or graft
instead of investment-was roughly US$42 billion,
equal to two-thirds of GDP. However, only about
one-quarter of the Philippine foreign debt is
short term (compared with more than three-quarters
for Mexico, which experienced financial difficulties
in early 1995).
|
| |
|
In
the late 1980s, foreign debt service routinely
ate up more than one-third of all Philippine export-derived
foreign exchange earnings. Through rescheduling,
buybacks of debt at a discount, increased exports,
and general growth in GDP, this debt service was
reduced to less than 20 percent of GDP in the
mid-1990s.
|
| |
|
For
many past decades, the Philippines maintained
a relatively closed economy in which local monopolies
and cartels operated by insiders or by the government
were largely protected from both domestic and
foreign competition. During much of the post-World
War 11 period, the "system" operated
in an often anticompetitive manner, with bureaucratic
roadblocks protecting the status quo and derailing
most attempts by outsiders to penetrate Philippine
markets.
|
| |
 |
With
the advent of Aquino, some of these foundations
became a little shaky, but most stayed in
place. Beginning with the Ramos administration
in 1992, the executive strongly pushed for
the further easing of foreign exchange,
foreign investment, and banking restrictions;
the lowering of tariff and non-tariff barriers
to trade and market entry; and the general
deregulation of the system. Ramos pursued
liberalization of key Philippine industries
such as the power sector, telecommunications
and in the process pursuded strong programs
promoting free trade as evidenced in active
membership with the Asia Pacific Economic
Council (APEC) and the ASEAN Free Trade
Area (AFTA). While progress has been made,
entrenched interests and some members of
the legislature continue to resist many
of the changes. Since 1986 the government
has begun to privatize its holdings, and
additional privatizations are anticipated.
The government has also cut the solid protection
once given to the national telephone monopoly,
allowing outside competitors to provide
service
|
|
| |
|
The
government's attempts to deal with economic problems
have met with the further difficulty of lack of
funds for necessary investments or even for seeding
the opportunities. Attempts to allow foreign investors
to build industrial capability and imports to
provide competition have often foundered because
of local resistance.
|
| |
|
Moreover,
attempts to upgrade domestic industry through
imports of capital goods and necessary raw materials
have resulted in a growing trade deficit that
might destabilize the economy in the short term
because of the outflow of foreign reserves needed
to pay for them. The government must rely largely
on private investment to fund development.
|
| |
|
In
1997, good fiscal management help shield the Philippines
from undergoing a fall-out process with the Asian
financial crisis that hit hard on neighboring
Malaysia and Thailand. The Philippines maintained
a good financial standing but the apparent lack
of confidence in the leadership of popularly elected
President Joseph Estrada in 1998 failed to equate
into a positive impact on the economy. By 2001,
the economy stagnated and even with the assumption
into office of economist trained Vice-President
Gloria Macapagal Arroyo as President, the economy
suffered a set-back as against political bickering
and uncertainty.
|
| |
|
A
final and significant aspect of the Philippine
economy is that a lack of employment opportunities
at home has caused substantial numbers of Filipinos
to work abroad as contract labor or on some other
guest worker basis. In recent years the estimated
US$2 billion remitted annually by overseas workers
has represented one of the country's largest single
sources of foreign exchange.
|
| |
|
However,
the status of Filipino workers abroad is often
problematic at best and marginal at worse, a fact
brought into poignant light by the 1995 execution
of a Philippine domestic worker in Singapore,
an event that became a political cause. But despite
the social disruptions caused by the absence of
workers from home, a decrease in overseas employment
could have a greater negative impact on the economy
than its continuation because of the relatively
few employment options at home and the importance
of the hard currency earnings generated by these
workers.
|